Kano, Dracai of Aether at Calling: Birmingham 2023
Kano, Dracai of Aether
3 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
67th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Petrone (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Williams (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 39:61
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs George Douglas (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Martin Hechtberger (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Mark Henderson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Harrison Shore (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dimitris Melissinos (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 23:77
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Samuel Parry (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Theo Maggs (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jay Glover (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Toby Beckham (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 23:77
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bota Claudiu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joel Rencen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kyle Mullings (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Steve Phillimore (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Reece Grimes (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jay Glover (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc Alexandre (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ays Banning (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 43:57
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Richard Carr (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Severs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.