Katsu, the Wanderer at Calling: Birmingham 2023
Katsu, the Wanderer
29 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
38%
Meta
+3.9
Perf
6.5
Surp
5.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zak Mc Gowan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher O'Toole (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christian Weißling (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs George Keys (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Marijn Lybaert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Adrian Fjell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs May Made (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs George Keys (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
5th • 10-3-0
31%
Meta
+4.3
Perf
6.6
Surp
6.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Rayner (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Sommer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Luka Kramaric (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jamie Faulkner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Mirande (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Friis Nielsen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Glenn Van Roey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hendrik Wytze Kluitenberg (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65
Round 9: Win vs Jacob Clements (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
Round 11: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
6.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
20th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
5.7
Surp
5.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Bergström (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Antonis Kazouris (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Quinn Durlston-Powell (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Sarrington (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marco Lettieri (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Richard Carr (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
29th • 8-4-0
25%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Callum Dorling (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Juha Saarnilampi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dean Ebelshäuser (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Noah Hicks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christian Weißling (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
Round 8: Win vs Viet Pham (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tuomas Lampinen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29
Round 11: Loss vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
25% (3/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
37th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elias Nærland (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Win vs Søren Madsen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Williams (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Vaz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 64:36
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Samuel Braben (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Adrian Fjell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kyle Mullings (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Leila Green (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
55th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Theo Maggs (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Win vs Connor McIndewar (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tom Marsh (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Gervolino (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lorenzo Petrone (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lucas Vaz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Friis Nielsen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Leila Green (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paweł Leszuk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dan York (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Dinsdale (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
Round 4: Win vs Simon Duck (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
Round 6: Win vs Oliver M (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Trafford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oscar Richichi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thierry Entringer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Callum Elcock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steve Andrew (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Darren Hazelden (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Fredrik Fagerberg (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Martin Hechtberger (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Taylor (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Joe Potter (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Chalk (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Jones (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ian Holland (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Keir Sweeney (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke/Evelynn Poulter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steven Christian (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Correas (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Harry Johnson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Duck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Jelle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Larsson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Charlie Fahey (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hon-man Yau (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Søren Madsen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Keven Daymond (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tadhg Treacy (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs George Bowles (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29
Round 5: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kyle Mullings (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Lerens (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Eastwood (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tobias Lee (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tom Jones (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Florian Stangassinger (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Gervolino (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Javier Querol (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Tuomas Lampinen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robert Catling (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tom Gould (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joe Fletcher (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Annabelle McQuade (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-1
57%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tobias Lee (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Flynn (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Edward Bayford (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sven Tscheppainz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yves Meienberg (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Benjamin Marshall (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Draw |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-1
71%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tom Gould (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vajithkumar Tharumathas (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sebastiano Zagatti (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Guillermo Pedernal (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Wallner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Natalia Berger (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steve Phillimore (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Gibbons (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Marshall (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maddalene Delves (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Christian Jelle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Theo Maggs (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Harwood (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jason Ogden (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
71%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Coates (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Tsohohey (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs Yann HENRI (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Porter (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joe Tough (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sven Tscheppainz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Hughes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gustavo Caperan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 64:36
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tomasz Buda (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Giannis Kapatos (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marc Alexandre (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tobias Lee (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Hughes (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sharif Shaaban (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Francesco D'Amendola (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Viet Pham (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Hoath (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robert Szary (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eugene C (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chris Macneill (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
40%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jorge Expósito Valiente (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gwen Woods (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maddalene Delves (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Sarrington (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elias Nærland (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gary White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joe Potter (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Farrow (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Henrik Montin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Siméon Gruel (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Larke (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Joe Fletcher (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jamie McCabe (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sébastien Guilbaud (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Haukur Thor Buason (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Contreras (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.