Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire at Calling: Birmingham 2023
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
39th • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
6.0
Surp
5.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ville Schalin (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas McCormick (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Win vs Michael Davies (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Adam James (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 31:69
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tadhg Treacy (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 10: Win vs Richard Carr (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
42nd • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Isaac Fogg (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emel Walsh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas McCormick (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Quinn Durlston-Powell (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Copeman (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Henrik Montin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 31:69
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 31:69
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Giannis Kapatos (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
53rd • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Danny Halstad (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Marsh (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Win vs Mohammad Rafiq (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robert Szary (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 54:46
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Finlay Shepherd (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 31:69
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Igor Koutzevitch (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 33:67
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 31:69
Round 3: Win vs Emma Rumsey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jamie Costello (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Guillermo Pedernal (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-1
14%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Sarrington (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 31:69
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maurice Philip (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Tuck (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 4: Win vs James Duck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Joshua Connop (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dan York (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
Round 7: Win vs Maddalene Delves (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Draw |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Taylor (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dean Ebelshäuser (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 28:72
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs nino Zimmermann (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 28:72
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs John Coombes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rob Emery (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-7-0
29%
Meta
-2.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Ormstrup (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Davide Giacca (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Macneill (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Edward Bayford (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Benjamin Marshall (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zak Mc Gowan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jamie Fraser (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eugene C (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs George Keys (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Tuck (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Oscar Richichi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dean Ebelshäuser (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 28:72
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raymond Rouse (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bota Claudiu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Sommer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Marsh (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Hicks (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Win vs Sam Ball (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Isaac Fogg (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 28:72
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Lester (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tom Gordon (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samir Sultani (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul A Wright (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs kurtulus ay (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jeppe Madsen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oscar Sigurdsson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jack Stoney (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Antonis Kazouris (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marc Alexandre (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Ward (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs SIMON LLOYD-JONES (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maximilien Berger (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.