Jarl Vetreiði
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
29th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marco Nogarole (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tommaso Ariatti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lorenzo Calderone (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Niccolò Borghi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Edoardo Cattaneo (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
43rd • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs THOMAS CORTICELLI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Federico Sirri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Francesco Forghieri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Round 8: Win vs Andrea Tosi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
Round 10: Loss vs Francesco D'Amendola (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
48th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Motta (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Domenico Patera (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leoluca Colletti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matteo Favretto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Pierantonio Ostuni (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
42nd • 2-4-1
43%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommaso Ariatti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Milaneschi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Davide Giacca (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Edoardo Galli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Draw vs Antonio Briola (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
15:85
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Christian Parisotto (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Draw |
| R10 | Zyggy Starlight | 15% | Loss |
74th • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Federico Lami (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Davide Colonna (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marco Zappaterra (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andrea Albani (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 23:77
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Diego Paoletti (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tiziano Biagetti (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Leoluca Colletti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adriano Izzi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marco Nogarole (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emanuele Damiani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefano Aloisi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Federico Fusaro (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.