Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at National Championship 2026 - Italy
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 7-0-0
86%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
3.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Francesco Zampieri (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Diego Giacca (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alessandro Carrara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Claudio Paradiso (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Christian Parisotto (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 62:38
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
12th • 6-1-0
86%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniele Frizzi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 81:19
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Federico Lami (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Francesco Forghieri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leonardo Ceglie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Niccolò Borghi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
17th • 6-1-0
71%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
4.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rosario La Canea (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Diego Paoletti (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
10th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tiziano Suran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Riccardo Rotondo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matteo Megera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Diego Giacca (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tommaso Ariatti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
73rd • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniele Milani (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Davide Giacca (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Francesco Motta (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tommaso Ariatti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrea Albani (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Marco Zappaterra (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Giuseppe Lucci (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
63rd • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luca Capoccioni (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Angelo Zaccardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Claudio Paradiso (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Simone Paterniti (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Adriano Izzi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lorenzo Latino (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Federico Chiarel (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrea Migliavacca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19
95:5
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicola Pellegrinelli (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 96:4
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniele Milani (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 9: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 95% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs "Lello" Alessandro Stefanelli (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adriano Izzi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 8: Loss vs Tiziano Biagetti (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Luca Rubinato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ENRICO BORTOLOTTI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Leoluca Colletti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stefano Aloisi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Paolo D’Innocenzo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs alessandro scarnato (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gaetano Ferrara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Edoardo Cattaneo (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Pizzetti (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 80% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.