Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
15th • 5-2-0
14%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Davide Giacca (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emanuele Damiani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Evan Goretti (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs angelo pastore (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
36th • 5-2-0
14%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
4.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paolo D’Innocenzo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raffaele Verdiani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gaetano Ferrara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Claudio Paradiso (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 10: Win vs Tiziano Biagetti (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
49th • 5-2-0
29%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Riccardo Rotondo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alessandro Sgura (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs riccardo battaglia (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fabrizio Cenacchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Piero Carini (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alessandro Carrara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Round 10: Loss vs angelo pastore (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
65th • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Domenico Patera (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fabrizio Cenacchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Win vs "Lello" Alessandro Stefanelli (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Luca Rubinato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Davide Giacca (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Federico Chiarel (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Raffaele Verdiani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Francesco Buoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Diego Giacca (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alessandro Brogi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lorenzo Calderone (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs piero scheriani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Davide Rizzi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Davide Giacca (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.