National Championship 2026 - Italy - Oscilio, Constella Intelligence (CC)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alessandro Bracci

3rd • 7-2-0

78%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Piergiorgio Villani (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs riccardo battaglia (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Matteo Lista (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Daniele Milani (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Matteo Lista (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.08
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.18
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.24
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.41
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.63
R9	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.84
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.12
R12	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Emanuele Damiani

38th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Edoardo Galli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rosario La Canea (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Emanuele Tozzi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Calderone (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Diego Paoletti (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs piero scheriani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Matteo Megera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.37
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.62
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.29
R10	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.57

Piero Carini

57th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Fabrizio Cenacchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Calderone (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Luca Capoccioni (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Paolo D’Innocenzo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Gianluca Razza (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Matteo Brunori (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Andrea Pizzetti (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.23
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.31
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.18
R10	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.84

piero scheriani

54th • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Evan Goretti (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Manferdini (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alessandro Sgura (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Ronchi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Emanuele Damiani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Alessandro Carrara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.77

Andrea Milaneschi

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs riccardo battaglia (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Federico Fusaro (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrea Albani (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alessandro Carrara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Leonardo Ceglie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Luca Rubinato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.35
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.20
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.36
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Diego Giacca

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Raffaele Verdiani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Zampieri (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.15
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.03
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Mirko Dolce

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Davide Colonna (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 84:16

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Migliavacca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pierantonio Ostuni (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Christian Parisotto (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.06
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.78
R4	CC	Zyggy Starlight	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Marco Ridolfi

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nicola Pellegrinelli (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

85:15

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Davide Colonna (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 84:16

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Diego Paoletti (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Stefano Galli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.12
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Simone Sieli

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Leonardo Ceglie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

85:15

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Giuseppe Lucci (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 83:17

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Federico Chiarel (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs ENRICO BORTOLOTTI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.13
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Stefano Aloisi

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Edoardo Galli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniele Frizzi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Valerio Colonna (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Francesco Buoso

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrea Migliavacca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Zampieri (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.