Arakni, Huntsman at National Championship 2026 - Italy
Arakni, Huntsman
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 7-3-0
70%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.7
Surp
4.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matteo Brunori (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Latino (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Goretti (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
Round 8: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alessandro Bracci (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Federico Lami (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs riccardo battaglia (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Alessandro Bracci (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.