Kassai of the Golden Sand
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pierantonio Ostuni (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Francesco D'Amendola (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Piero Carini (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Valerio Colonna (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Evan Goretti (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
21st • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Giuseppe Lucci (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Luca Rubinato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edoardo Galli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matteo Lista (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Fabio Fierro (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Daniele Milani (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Tommaso Ariatti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
40th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Edoardo La Rosa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Tosi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs THOMAS CORTICELLI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Domenico Patera (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Giuseppe Lucci (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Simone Busatto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Fabrizio Cenacchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
70th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michele Calise (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Win vs Marco Ridolfi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Emanuele Damiani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Simone Paterniti (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Salvatore Valenti (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
60th • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bottino Valerio (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Raffaele Verdiani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Milaneschi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Round 8: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Gianluca Razza (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs piero scheriani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Loss |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
64th • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simone Busatto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Forghieri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Piero Carini (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs angelo pastore (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs ENRICO BORTOLOTTI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Round 9: Loss vs Edoardo Cattaneo (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Simone Paterniti (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Lorenzo Salice (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrea Nicastro (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
Round 3: Loss vs Tiziano Biagetti (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Giuseppe Lucci (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Draw |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paolo D’Innocenzo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Massimiliano Messina (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Tosi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.