Dorinthea Ironsong
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
27th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alessandro Brogi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Davide Rizzi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Otman Soumane (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lorenzo Calderone (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Gaetano Ferrara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
20:80
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Raffaele Verdiani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
50th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.9
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leoluca Colletti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
Round 2: Loss vs riccardo battaglia (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs "Lello" Alessandro Stefanelli (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Edoardo Cattaneo (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Domenico Patera (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Lorenzo Latino (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Francesco Forghieri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
26th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lorenzo Latino (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrea Ronchi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Antonio Briola (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tommaso Ariatti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Fabio Fierro (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
20:80
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
Round 2: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stefano Aloisi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matteo Fattori (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tiziano Suran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.