Aurora, Shooting Star at World Championship: Osaka

Aurora, Shooting Star

72 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Mercy Bickell

2nd • 10-2-0

100%

Meta

+3.4

Perf

5.6

Surp

7.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs shirui wu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Juha-Antti Kurttila (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Yuanji Li (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Alex Chițu (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R16 CC

Round 16: Win vs valentin mackl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R17 CC

Round 17: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R18 CC

Round 18: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (12/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

7.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.32
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.19
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R13	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.92
R14	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.13
R15	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.07
R16	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.11
R17	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.48
R18	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Rob Catton

5th • 7-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.7

Surp

4.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kieran Carnegie (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tony Mapelli (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kiki Labad (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael Metallo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Shing Tsang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Allen Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R16 CC

Round 16: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (10/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.09
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.26
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.33
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.16
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R14	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.85
R15	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.57
R16	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Ray lam

21st • 8-1-0

100%

Meta

+3.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

5.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Suzuki Takahiro (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Toni Schwarze (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Peter Ward (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Nova Chan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs ChingHeng Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Mortal Chu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

5.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.09
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.18
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.46
R12	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.29
R15	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.65

Ville Teräväinen

98th • 8-1-0

100%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

4.4

Surp

7.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marshal Meador (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ian Holland (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hunter Platt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joe Colon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

7.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.11
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.22
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.46
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.29
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.63
R15	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Bartosz Ziemba

11th • 7-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Taotao Chu (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Aquino (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Maciej Janik (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.09
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.27
R5	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.50
R12	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.73
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.51
R15	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Bogdan-Andrei Oros

17th • 7-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.3

Surp

5.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs ryutaro Doi (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tony Mapelli (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vulpe Razvan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs valentin mackl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Ben Dodd (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

5.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.19
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.38
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.46
R12	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.14
R13	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R14	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.51
R15	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.62

DYLAN MANGINI

95th • 7-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Correas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Derk Hua Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Hui Ryan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.14
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.43
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.29
R15	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.38

Ralph Schlauri

16th • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.4

Surp

4.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kelvin Law (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Thomas Harle (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.22
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.37
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.33
R15	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Jin Han Toh

20th • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.6

Surp

5.0

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ryan Biggs (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs George Rodger (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Victor Mercado (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Sebastian Grøndal (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.19
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.29
R15	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.38

Isaac Katsakis

33rd • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wong Hennessy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.19
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.43
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.58
R12	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R14	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.29
R15	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jake mccormack

91st • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.5

Surp

5.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Krishaal Kumar (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Felix Gössel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Janbert Dela Cruz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Cameron Hay (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.09
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.52
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.11
R13	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.43
R14	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R15	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.75

Guillem Las Heras

45th • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.4

Surp

5.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Colin Li (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Odi Winata (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tiago Rodrigues (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Evan Herndon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.28
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.47
R12	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.40
R13	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.23
R14	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.62

Sunny Yang

59th • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Lim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Adrián Marín (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Roy Lai (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Jan Van Nieuwenhove (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.18
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.46
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.11
R13	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R14	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R15	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Zachary Cauchi

62nd • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ricky Lianto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Felix Gössel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Kristian Čurla (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.23
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.43
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R12	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.62
R13	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.23
R14	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R15	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Lee Ming-Han

65th • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Terukazu Goshima (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bun Ar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Peng Joon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.26
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.11
R13	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.68
R14	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Pudding Tam

75th • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tiago Rodrigues (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lucas Vaz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.22
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.37
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.49
R15	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Tsz Lung Wu

77th • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Zac Lau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.26
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.33
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R12	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.33
R15	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

ChingHeng Lin

82nd • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.6

Surp

4.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jacky Ho (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Ray lam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Malcolm Song (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.23
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.38
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.55
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R15	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Chu Heng Eng

93rd • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.6

Surp

4.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mortal Chu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Marshall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tye Soens (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael Wachouschek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs nathan lapham (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Emmanuel Onate (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.19
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.28
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.74
R12	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.29
R15	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.59

Ran Sasaki

110th • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kuan Li (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.38
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.46
R12	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R13	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R14	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.98
R15	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Shuto Ushiro

121st • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs ChingHeng Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs shirui wu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Cameron Hay (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Tov Hanssen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Justin Cu (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.21
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.40
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R12	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Tov Hanssen

127th • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Grøndal (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs George Rodger (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Shou Miyahara (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Gary White (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.09
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R12	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.33
R15	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Jimmy Nguyen

136th • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Connor McGrath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Joe Colon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Janbert Dela Cruz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Peter Ward (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Suciu Andrei (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.11
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.18
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.37
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R13	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R14	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.29
R15	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Dominique JABES

138th • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs C WK (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marlon Ilagan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Liam Bennett (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Peter Ward (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Justin Cu (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.16
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.51
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R13	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.20
R14	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.51
R15	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Victor Mercado

69th • 4-5-0

89%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

4.6

Surp

2.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Zac Lau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kelvin Law (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.13
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.53
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R14	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.29
R15	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Malcolm Song

105th • 4-5-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Barrett Goss (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joel Repta (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Emmanuel Onate (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Gregory Patellis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (4.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.20
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.58
R12	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R13	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.20
R14	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R15	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Peter Buddensiek

112th • 4-5-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Terry Yuen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Marshall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Oliver Phi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Kristian Čurla (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Oh Oh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.38
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.46
R12	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R13	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R14	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Theo Montero Ciscar

139th • 4-5-0

89%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.3

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Earl Edison Ang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Felix Gössel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.05
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.28
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R15	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.39

Natanael Avellino

128th • 3-6-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

4.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs YUTO NIIDA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joel Gibbons (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Rich (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ray lam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dagan White (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.12
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.19
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.28
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R12	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R13	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R14	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Blake Godenzi

129th • 3-6-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

4.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Achin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tore Eskeland (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Liam Bennett (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kiki Labad (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Oh Oh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Tov Hanssen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.22
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.37
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.46
R12	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R13	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R14	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R15	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gian Arnandi

131st • 3-6-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

4.8

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Athena Halkia (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Satsuki Itagaki (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mortal Chu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Estarlin Cruz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Noah Clark (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Joe Colon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Hui Ryan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.23
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.58
R12	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.11
R13	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R14	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R15	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tov Hanssen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tariq Patel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Teddy Tai (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Adam Urban (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Jose Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.09
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.48
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R12	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R14	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Terukazu Goshima

dropped • 4-1-0

80%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Vít Stříteský (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Noah Clark (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Allen Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.50
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.66
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Thomas Li

dropped • 4-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs chen shr jiang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Brent Van de Staey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.33
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.38
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Adrián Marín

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gary White (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Labiano Serrano (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Justian Frederick (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.58
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

Antonio Briola

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andreas Andronicou (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.33
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Carlo Ople

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dawid Dominiak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Justin Lim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew W (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.28
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Dominic Chong

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Teddy Tai (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs OWN HSIANG YU (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.19
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.67
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Lk Sing

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Peter Markovič (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rocko Yan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jeroen van der Wal (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Lukasz Bigos

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Cu (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kyrios Mak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ricky Lianto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.74
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Philip van Donselaar

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matt Rogers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs shirui wu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Antonio Briola (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs kazuma kuwahara (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.36
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 王上熏 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs valentin mackl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alberto Di Blasi (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Handy Wijaya (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.78
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Sadat Minick

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shane Martin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.28
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Taine Markley

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Emad Kashy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.67
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Torpong Juntree

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kelvin Law (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Wong Hennessy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.46
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.67
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.85

Adrian Słowiński

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.66
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Angelito Jr Eusebio

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Timo Cullmann (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Denny Sunarjo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.59
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bartosz Dominiak

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shou Miyahara (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Fuad Omar (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Si-Jie Gao (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.21
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Darren Taing

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Julio Anthony (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Toni Schwarze (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chris Legg (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.09
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.50
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Deitrich Mohan

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs FUNG CC (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jack Mountford (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.50
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.24

Eduardo Melo

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marco Ng (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mariano Lemus (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Dev Gordon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.59
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.55

Elly Bird

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs valentin mackl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tariq Patel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.78
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Ivan Teo

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dawid Dominiak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.42
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.59
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Kyrios Mak

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs 島内良仁 (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Lachlan Buchan

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Taichi Iwasaki (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Justin Cu (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Felix Gössel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Peter Smyth (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.19
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.85

Law Wen

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kanaris Bounas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alexander Labiano Serrano (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.59
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Liam Holden

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yifei Wang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Narin Leelaporn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Roderick So

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs nathan lapham (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.33
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.50
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

TSUNAKI SAWAI

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jaehwan Kwak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs ryutaro Doi (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.58
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

tim Lin

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Emad Kashy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kevin Constantineau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David Yau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.19
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.59
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Athena Halkia

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gian Arnandi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Peng Joon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

CYK Lionel

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs haruka sonoda (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Liam Canning (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Soh zheng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.34
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-

Cas Mulder

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs OWN HSIANG YU (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nghia Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.50
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Ian Holland

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Vít Stříteský (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Marko Zutic

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wei Jian Gan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Suh Jaeyong

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marlon Ilagan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Yau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gary White (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.15
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nicholas Wong

dropped • 0-4-1

80%

Meta

-2.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Reyes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrei Joghiu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Michael Koch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Marko Zutic (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hochun Lai (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Draw	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Barrett Goss

dropped • 0-5-0

80%

Meta

-2.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 王上熏 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Malcolm Song (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kar Hoe See (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Rodolfo Xavier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-

Rafael de Oliveira Julio

dropped • 0-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Fuad Omar (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Renzo Schietgat (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs John Zapata (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Fee Sen Sei

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Terukazu Goshima (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Toby Firth

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vít Stříteský (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Biggs (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

C WK

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dominique JABES (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.