Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at World Championship: Osaka
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
46th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
5.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Narin Leelaporn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 61:39
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 20:80
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Hicks (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
R15
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Mortal Chu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
81st • 4-5-0
22%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tiago Rodrigues (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Win vs C WK (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 20:80
Round 13: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 31:69
Round 15: Win vs Adam Urban (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 20% | Loss |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Loss |
| R15 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs yu hong wang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nghia Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Tydecks (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Mason Galvan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Keith Yong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.