Dash I/O at World Championship: Osaka

Dash I/O

52 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Allen Lau

3rd • 8-3-0

82%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

5.3

Surp

4.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Justin Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Josep Giné (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Noah Hicks (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Terukazu Goshima (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Fahad Rahman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Rob Catton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R16 CC

Round 16: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R17 CC

Round 17: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.17
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.40
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.35
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.33
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R13	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.08
R14	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.99
R15	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R16	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.13
R17	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Sam Sutherland

3rd • 8-3-0

73%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

5.5

Surp

6.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Koch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Justin Rowland (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Fahad Rahman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Matt Rogers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R16 CC

Round 16: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

60:40

R17 CC

Round 17: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

73% (8/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

6.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.27
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.20
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.33
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.80
R13	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R14	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.17
R15	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.25
R16	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	2.13
R17	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Kristian Čurla

24th • 9-0-0

89%

Meta

+4.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

6.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 島内良仁 (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Arthur Murta (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Theodore Tan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Colin Tang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Yuanji Li (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

6.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.10
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.20
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.41
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.81
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.98
R13	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.14
R15	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.30

Ian Zhang

58th • 8-1-0

89%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

7.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Igor Brkic (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Peter Markovič (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Viliam Kubik (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs kazuma kuwahara (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

7.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.16
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.14
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.41
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.41
R12	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.26
R13	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.12
R14	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	2.28
R15	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.57

Nova Chan

18th • 7-2-0

78%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

4.3

Surp

6.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Juha Saarnilampi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Taotao Chu (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Johnson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs David Yau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Ray lam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

6.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.21
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.31
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.35
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.98
R13	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R14	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	2.28
R15	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Evan Herndon

54th • 7-2-0

89%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

4.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Justin Cu (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.10
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.21
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.51
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.06
R14	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.50
R15	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.22

Shawn Dhaliwal

38th • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.5

Surp

4.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Earl Edison Ang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Johnson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs nathan lapham (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Nova Chan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.20
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.43
R12	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.22
R13	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.21
R15	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kaiser Wong

48th • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Masaya Sasaki (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Peng Joon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.20
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.43
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R14	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	1.04
R15	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.53

Jose Lau

50th • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs kou rui yang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Timothy Teo (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs song kyunghwan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Earl Edison Ang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.35
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.23
R12	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R14	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.14
R15	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.53

Jacob Baugh

51st • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.3

Surp

5.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Roderick So (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Valentin Varga (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Shane Martin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Kristian Čurla (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.08
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.52
R12	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.22
R13	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.21
R15	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Yuki Lee Bender

84th • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Roy Lai (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Brent Van de Staey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thomas Harle (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Colin Tang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Shane Martin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

R14

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Vincent Lim (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.10
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.21
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.49
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.35
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R12	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.36
R14	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.30

Thomas Bailey Galbraith

85th • 6-3-0

67%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

4.2

Surp

4.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Timo Cullmann (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christopher Reyes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs David Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.10
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.21
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.35
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R12	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R13	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.33
R14	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R15	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	2.44

Aaron Shantz

87th • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eugene Phua (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 31:69

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacky Ho (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matt Rogers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.10
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.41
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.49
R12	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R13	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.96
R14	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R15	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Thomas Dowling

119th • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Samuele Costantini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Joe Colon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

75:25

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Earl Edison Ang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.10
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.16
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.52
R12	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.22
R13	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R15	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.69

Jaap IJlst

73rd • 5-4-0

78%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.4

Surp

4.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Steven Young (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Janbert Dela Cruz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Oh Oh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs nathan lapham (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.16
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.95
R13	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Robert Piper

101st • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fahad Rahman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs kazuma kuwahara (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.09
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.20
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.25
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.23
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.81
R12	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R13	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R14	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R15	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Cameron Hay

113th • 5-4-0

78%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

4.5

Surp

4.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kiki Labad (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Estarlin Cruz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

30:70

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.10
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.35
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.51
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.98
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R14	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	30%	Win	✗	0.69	2.61
R15	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Anton Cid Mejias

61st • 4-5-0

56%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Choi Tae seong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 31:69

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs song kyunghwan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jaehwan Kwak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.33
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.41
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.43
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.33
R14	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R15	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Reese Toomre

134th • 4-5-0

89%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

4.6

Surp

3.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Grøndal (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Josiah Cheah (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

R15

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.08
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.31
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.51
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	2.11
R14	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R15	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tom Tydecks

135th • 4-5-0

89%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs シンヤカワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kanaris Bounas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Hui Ryan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Felix Gössel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Emmanuel Onate (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.43
R12	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.40
R14	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R15	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Shou Miyahara

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Si-Jie Gao (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yi Jun Loh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tov Hanssen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs kazuma kuwahara (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.41
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.56
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.52
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Lukasz Ziemba

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ivan Teo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tariq Patel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Colin Li (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Miw Valle (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs David Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.10
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.42
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.70
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Justin Lim

dropped • 4-1-0

80%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sunny Yang (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Carlo Ople (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Noah Clark (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.15
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.29
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.17
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

Bun Ar

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Vít Stříteský (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Felix Gössel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.29
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.25
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Colin Li

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Viliam Kubik (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lukasz Ziemba (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jaehwan Kwak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.15
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.31
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Yau

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sylvain Poirree (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs tim Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nova Chan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.44
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.59
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Hung Aaa_Man

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs George Rodger (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Vincent Lim (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.18
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

Ricky Lianto

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kelvin Law (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.15
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.21
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.59
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Tobias Schmiedeberg

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tom Tydecks (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Huang Hsiang En (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lk Sing (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs valentin mackl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.29
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.58
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.59
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Tsuyoshi Kaji

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mark Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Suciu Andrei (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.59
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.62
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

YUTO NIIDA

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Martin Andreasson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matúš Martinko (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Liam Canning (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.59
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.57
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

王上熏

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Barrett Goss (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Cu (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Dertoni (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.15
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.29
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Dylan Thompson

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mark Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gary White (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.55
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.17
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Jeroen van der Wal

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Soh zheng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lk Sing (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.40
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.73
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Joel Repta

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Keith Yong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Henry Moore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Malcolm Song (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.58
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Liam Canning

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alex Chițu (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs CYK Lionel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs YUTO NIIDA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.47
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.59
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mariano Lemus

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs janis bernhards (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Emmanuel Onate (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.59
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.59
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Masaya Sasaki

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Roger Bodee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jan Van Nieuwenhove (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jack Mountford (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.59
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.33
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Mateusz Sass

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Toby Firth (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Achin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marco Ng (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.44
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

Matthew McInnis

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dev Gordon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.37
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Satsuki Itagaki

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Rowland (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gian Arnandi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs David Marshall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

Vlastimil Martinek Jr.

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Szabolcs Egri (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.73
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.51

Yifei Wang

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Janbert Dela Cruz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Liam Holden (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.19
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.44
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Yoshiki Mizutani

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Zachary Gardiner (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Long Dao (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.16
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.37
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

kou rui yang

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jose Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vulpe Razvan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Julio Anthony (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.76
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.67

Brodie Spurlock

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Roy Lai (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Barrett Goss (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gian Arnandi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.59
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Changgun Gwak

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kieran Carnegie (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.31
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Matthew Ericsson Marquez

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wong Hennessy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Miw Valle (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hung Aaa_Man (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Valentin Varga (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Matthew Foulkes

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs ryutaro Doi (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Okamoto Natsuki

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Josep Giné (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

Xincheng Hou

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ivan Teo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joel Repta (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.57
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Sylvain Poirree

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Yau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Biggs (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.58
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.