Dorinthea Ironsong
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
108th • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
4.7
Surp
5.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yu Hang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Win vs Long Dao (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
20:80
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Win |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R15 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
130th • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tai-Yuan Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hui Ryan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
20:80
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Cameron Hay (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kuan Li (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Duy Ta (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Achin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-1
20%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Clément LOUBIERE (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jyry Soinio (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Win vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Draw |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Derk Hua Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gary Gold (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hochun Lai (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.