FaB-Results

Dorinthea Ironsong at World Championship: Osaka

Dorinthea Ironsong

Dorinthea Ironsong

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Mok Marcus
108th • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
4.7
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Dash I/O
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
Nuu, Alluring Desire
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yu Hang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Dash I/O
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
!!
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Long Dao (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Aurora, Shooting Star
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Joshua Lau
130th • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
Aurora, Shooting Star
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Nuu, Alluring Desire
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tai-Yuan Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 39:61
Dash I/O
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
Dash I/O
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hui Ryan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
Aurora, Shooting Star
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
20:80
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
Dash I/O
!
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Cameron Hay (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Nuu, Alluring Desire
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 39:61
Thomas van den Berg
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
Viserai, Rune Blood
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kuan Li (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
Nuu, Alluring Desire
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 39:61
Nuu, Alluring Desire
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 39:61
Aurora, Shooting Star
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
Yuto Suzuki
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Duy Ta (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Viserai, Rune Blood
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Achin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Aurora, Shooting Star
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
To Cheng
dropped • 1-3-1
60%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Clément LOUBIERE (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Uzuri, Switchblade
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jyry Soinio (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Kano, Dracai of Aether
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
Benedek Soós
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
Nuu, Alluring Desire
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Derk Hua Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 39:61
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gary Gold (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Nuu, Alluring Desire
!
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hochun Lai (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.