Azalea, Ace in the Hole at World Championship: Osaka
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
23rd • 9-0-0
89%
Meta
+4.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
7.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Reese Toomre (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Fahad Rahman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
7.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
90th • 6-3-0
100%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.5
Surp
5.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arthur Murta (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yi Jun Loh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tov Hanssen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ryan Rich (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Viliam Kubik (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R15 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
97th • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.5
Surp
4.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bun Ar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs OWN HSIANG YU (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Louis Guillot (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
49th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.8
Surp
4.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Win vs Igor Brkic (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Urban (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dominique JABES (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
109th • 4-5-0
89%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kuan Li (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs shirui wu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs haruka sonoda (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luka Kramaric (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dominic Chong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs OWN HSIANG YU (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Hui Ryan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs shoma yamamura (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Duy Ta (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Round 3: Win vs Justian Frederick (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Caleb Engen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Earl Edison Ang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 21:79
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dominic Chong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Josiah Cheah (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Adam Urban (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Chițu (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shane Martin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Timo Cullmann (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Somers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew W (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Win vs Duy Ta (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Allen Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Man Hiem Cheung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maciej Janik (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs kazuma kuwahara (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fuad Omar (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Win vs Justin Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Suzuki Takahiro (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marko Zutic (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Roger Bodee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dagan White (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oliver Phi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shou Miyahara (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Biggs (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Bouffard (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam Lau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Loss vs Steven Young (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.