Uzuri, Switchblade at World Championship: Osaka

Uzuri, Switchblade

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Daniel Dreisziger

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 18:82

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daryl Sham (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 14:86

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Justin Rowland (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Justian Frederick

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.2

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 18:82

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Denny Sunarjo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Joe Cassidy (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Jyry Soinio

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 23:77

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs To Cheng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Oliver Phi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 18:82

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 18:82

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.