
Kassai of the Golden Sand
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 3: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.