World Championship: Osaka - Zen, Tamer of Purpose (CC)

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

44 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lucas Oswald

37th • 7-2-0

44%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

4.5

Surp

6.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jose Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Derk Hua Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Dertoni (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

6.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.14
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.28
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.31
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.60
R12	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.66
R13	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.57
R15	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ryan Baker

96th • 7-2-0

78%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

5.0

Surp

6.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Keith Yong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Colin Tang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs kei iikubo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Fuad Omar (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Justin Cu (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R14

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.25
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.76
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R14	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Daniel Rutkowski

123rd • 7-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Liam Bennett (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Peter Ward (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Gary White (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Louis Guillot (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.16
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.31
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R12	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.93
R13	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.07
R14	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R15	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.16

Charles Dunn

26th • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.3

Surp

6.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yifei Wang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Suciu Andrei (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs John Zapata (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs yu hong wang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Gregory Patellis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jose Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

6.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.31
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.39
R12	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.93
R13	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.80
R14	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.57
R15	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Cody Williams

31st • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.7

Surp

4.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Handy Wijaya (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lucas Aquino (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Fahad Rahman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs valentin mackl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Ray lam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.14
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.39
R12	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.44
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.46
R14	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R15	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Justin Cu

124th • 5-4-0

56%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lachlan Buchan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 王上熏 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Dominique JABES (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.55
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R12	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R14	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.57
R15	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.68

Naib Mobassir

70th • 4-5-0

56%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

4.6

Surp

2.6

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Choi Tae seong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hunter Platt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 77:23

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Dagan White (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.19
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.31
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.21
R12	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R13	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R14	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.93
R15	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Ryosuke Urase

dropped • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Fahad Rahman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Wei Jian Gan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Reese Toomre (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs shoma yamamura (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Yoshiki Inada (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.67
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.71
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.53
R12	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.71
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Shane Martin

dropped • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacky Ho (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marshal Meador (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Peng Joon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.11
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.46
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R13	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Peter Markovič

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lk Sing (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marco Ng (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Majin Bae (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Odi Winata (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Vaz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.13
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.58
R12	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Yoshiki Inada

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gary White (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs chen shr jiang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yifei Wang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.25
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.04
R12	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mariusz Suchanecki

dropped • 4-1-0

40%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daryl Sham (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gregory Patellis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs YUTO NIIDA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.34
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.42
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.99
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.70

Andre Ryan See

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Vaz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs song kyunghwan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dagan White (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Connor McGrath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.14
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.30
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.86
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Bartłomiej Chrobak

dropped • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.7

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joel Repta (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Wei Jian Gan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andrew Rudin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.50
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.25
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Brent Van de Staey

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Rudin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andreas Andronicou (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.15
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.56
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

George Rodger

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hung Aaa_Man (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tov Hanssen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kevin Constantineau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.34
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.50
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Matthew W

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Valentin Varga (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Carlo Ople (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.15
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.48
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.81
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Matúš Martinko

dropped • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs suk kyo suh (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yu Hang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs YUTO NIIDA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs yohei ohki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hayden Dale (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.14
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.89
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Nikola Kramarić

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joe Colon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dev Gordon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.28
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.54
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.24

Theodore Tan

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Raphael Rosa (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kristian Čurla (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Janbert Dela Cruz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.28
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.01

hirotsugu shimauchi

dropped • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marco Lauria (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 63:37

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Juan Chacon (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.26
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.02
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Andrew Rudin

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eugene Phua (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.28
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.56
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dawid Dominiak

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wouter Ouwehand (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ivan Teo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Filip Mikołajczyk

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Suzuki Takahiro (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs chen shr jiang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.28
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gary Gold

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.9

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Benedek Soós (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs suk kyo suh (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.38
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.56
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Jacob Hawkinson

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ian Holland (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.50
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Juha Saarnilampi

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tai-Yuan Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nova Chan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs kou rui yang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Guillermo Regueiro (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.75
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.56
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Jun Pan

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Chris Legg (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jan Van Nieuwenhove (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tai-Yuan Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.15
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.30
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Kevin Constantineau

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs yu lain lin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs tim Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Liam Holden (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs George Rodger (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.28
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.81
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lucas Aquino

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Nathaniel Jerald Bea

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Szabolcs Egri (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs FUNG CC (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.59
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Piotr Krzempek

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Renzo Schietgat

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs kei iikubo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Wachouschek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rafael de Oliveira Julio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mason Galvan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.81
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.74

Timo Cullmann

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tye Soens (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Marshal Meador (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.15
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.01

Timothy Teo

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gary Gold (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jose Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs yu hong wang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Terry Yuen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.56
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Christopher Higashi

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alberto Di Blasi (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sam Lau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Igor Wesołowski

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Igor Brkic (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs chen shr jiang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Suzuki Takahiro (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Soya Okuda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Krishaal Kumar (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.56
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Kunihiko Date

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Aquino (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Vaz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Julio Anthony (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs yu lain lin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Marco Ng

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Murta (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Si-Jie Gao

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Shou Miyahara (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tyler Brotton

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pedro Esaki (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dawid Dominiak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.35
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sam Lau

dropped • 0-4-1

80%

Meta

-2.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Pedro Esaki (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs lim jing hao (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Draw	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matthias Verbeeck

dropped • 0-5-0

20%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cameron Hay (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs valentin mackl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs kou rui yang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Takamasa Kamei

dropped • 0-5-0

60%

Meta

-2.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Si-Jie Gao (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.