Prism, Awakener of Sol at World Championship: Osaka
Prism, Awakener of Sol
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
137th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gust Boelaert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alberto Di Blasi (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 71:29
Round 4: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dash I/O) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jose Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 25:75
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Denny Sunarjo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 79:21
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Choi Tae seong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 71:29
25:75
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 80% | Win |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 25:75
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 71:29
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Suciu Andrei (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrián Marín (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Toby Firth (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Terukazu Goshima (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bun Ar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 25:75
Round 4: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ian Holland (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kiki Labad (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hochun Lai (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 71:29
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Masaya Sasaki (Dash I/O) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.