World Championship: Osaka - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Earl Edison Ang

137th • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gust Boelaert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alberto Di Blasi (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jose Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Denny Sunarjo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 70:30

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Choi Tae seong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.06
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.19
R4	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.64
R5	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R12	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.68
R13	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R14	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.91
R15	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Igor Brkic

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Suciu Andrei (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.16
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.47
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Michael Lau

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adrián Marín (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.32
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.96
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Vít Stříteský

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Toby Firth (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Terukazu Goshima (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bun Ar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ian Holland (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.16
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.79

Jack Mountford

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kiki Labad (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 25:75

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hochun Lai (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Masaya Sasaki (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.35
R4	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.