Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
24 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
71st • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.6
Surp
5.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 14: Win vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
25:75
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R15 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
89th • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Darren Taing (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Win vs Andreas Andronicou (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 14: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
75:25
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Peng Joon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R15 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
66th • 4-3-2
44%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Ben Dodd (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gian Arnandi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fahad Rahman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Justin Salmon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Ray lam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 15: Loss vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Draw |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
102nd • 4-5-0
22%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Paweł Kręcki (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ray lam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
140th • 2-7-0
33%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Long Dao (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kar Hoe See (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lachlan Buchan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Loss vs Bun Ar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 13: Loss vs Tom Tydecks (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
25:75
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Suciu Andrei (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-1
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs To Cheng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs motohiro makigano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Draw |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Darryn Ying (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rafael de Oliveira Julio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs YuDi Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
40%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dawid Dominiak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs yu lain lin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Alexander Labiano Serrano (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Athena Halkia (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Draw |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taine Markley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Win vs yohei ohki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Dertoni (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mark Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fuad Omar (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Anthony Achin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jan Van Nieuwenhove (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Samuele Costantini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rodolfo Xavier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Mountford (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs nathan lapham (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cameron Hay (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rob Catton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paweł Kręcki (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vulpe Razvan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Huang Hsiang En (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Holden (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Pheano Black (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Roderick So (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Win vs Tony Mapelli (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emad Kashy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dawid Dominiak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Taine Markley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs FUNG CC (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Wachouschek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oh Oh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeroen van der Wal (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Round 3: Loss vs Shou Miyahara (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dominic Chong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs chen shr jiang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kanaris Bounas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Ward (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tye Soens (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
Round 3: Loss vs Joel Repta (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.