Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at World Championship: Osaka
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-5-0
12%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kyrios Mak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Ville Teräväinen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Piper (Dash I/O) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mortal Chu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Aldrin Paul Arugay (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ricky Lianto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nathan Youngblut (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gregory Patellis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs yu lain lin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Wachouschek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash I/O) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.