Ira, Crimson Haze at Sunday Showdown: Rotterdam 2026

Ira, Crimson Haze

29 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Romain Lambert

2nd • 9-2-0

82%

Meta

+3.2

Perf

5.3

Surp

4.5

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Martynas Norbutas (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Adam Chebchoub (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Lukas Lorek (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Michael de Kok (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Marcus Wystub (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Warre Sevens (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Finn Kleine (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.15
R3	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R5	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.33
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.53
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R8	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.50
R9	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.04
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.91
R11	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Finn Kleine

3rd • 8-2-0

90%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

4.8

Surp

4.1

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tjorven Macharis (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Florian Vanbrakel (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Melvin Valderrey (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Bram Hast (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Bart de Jong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Patrick Hauser (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Romain Lambert (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

90% (9/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.51
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.48
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.90
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Patrick Hauser

5th • 7-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Dominik Ixert (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jason Huylebroeck (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Lukas Lorek (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Antoan Yordanov (Lexi) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Marcus Wystub (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs David Watt (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Martynas Norbutas (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Finn Kleine (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R4	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.33
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.41
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.53
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.73
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Marcus Wystub

5th • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Christoph Korzeniewski (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Rafael Boog (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Cédric De smet (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs David Watt (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Patrick Hauser (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Romain Lambert (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Rene Gropp (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.19
R3	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R4	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.58
R5	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.38
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R9	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Bart de Jong

11th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.0

Diff

75:25

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jasper Schatorje (Azalea) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Peter Stürmer (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Andrew Rayner (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Christian Meinzer (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Finn Kleine (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.05
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.74
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.86
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andrew Rayner

18th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.8

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Antun Mesar (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs jens van santberghe (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kiran Lee (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Aaron Heimbeck (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Vasil Popov (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.25
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.86
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.99

Dominik Ixert

22nd • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Andy Rakoto (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Hauser (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Riptide) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Florian Grabenstein (Rhinar) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Hao Ru Wu (Rhinar) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Adam Chebchoub (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jan Wöhlke (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R5	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.53
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.74
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Felix Krisch

27th • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ozan Birinci (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Finn Kleine (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs David Watt (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Floyd Vrij (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Simon Daelemans (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.46
R6	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Stefan Hilderink

33rd • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.3

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Aaron Heimbeck (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jakob Immer (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Christoph Korzeniewski (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Erik Skinstad (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Finn Kleine (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Sacha Evrard (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Michael de Kok (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Dominik Ixert (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.04
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.62
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.85
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Hakan Baris

35th • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Robin Deceuninck (Rhinar) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Robert van der Padt (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Samed Demir (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jordan Akers (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Diana Triebnig (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Rafael Boog (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs David Kuric (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R4	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.82
R6	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.55
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.60
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Simon Daelemans

38th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Cato DIrdal (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Tom Griesbach (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jan Schweder (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Christian Meinzer (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Möller (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Petar Peric (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.31
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.49
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.68

Jakob Immer

40th • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs David Muntwyler (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Floyd Vrij (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Keir Murphy (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Bart Horré (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.97
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.62
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.86

Florian Vanbrakel

41st • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.3

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Stuart Turner (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Finn Kleine (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Roger Braun (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Dennis Werk (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Christian Meinzer (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.97
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Antoine BEUCHER

43rd • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Davis Groza (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Adam Chebchoub (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jason Huylebroeck (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Andrei Dragne (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Nicolas BROSSE (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Aaron Heimbeck (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Declan Patrick (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.34
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.29
R8	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.68

Ian Zhang

44th • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.9

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Wolfgang Mahl (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Davis Groza (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Diana Triebnig (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Bram Hast (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Adam Chebchoub (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Peter Bråss (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.26
R4	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.86
R8	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.31

Nicolas BROSSE

55th • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Rob Catton (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Florian Grabenstein (Rhinar) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Roger Braun (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Antoine BEUCHER (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Lukas Lorek (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.21
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Jan Wöhlke

57th • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Philipp Schlegel (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Terra) - Expected: 48:52

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Falko Holzenhauer (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Davis Groza (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs ruben dehenau (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs jens van santberghe (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Dominik Ixert (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs William Rao (Riptide) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.13
R4	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.34
R5	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.52
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.74
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

KONSTANTINOS STERGIOU

72nd • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.7

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Gaël Dorckel (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Dominik Schauer (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Yannick Machiels (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs joeri pennings (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.51
R6	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Ozan Birinci

80th • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

4.3

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Leoluca Colletti (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tim Heibrok (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Gremm (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Buntrock (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Floyd Vrij (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ype Beuk (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Dalton Harmsen

82nd • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs David Kuric (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Christofzik (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Niklas Schulte Osthoff (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Julian Cappallo (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Davis Groza (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Gaël Dorckel (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Lukas Lorek (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Christoph Korzeniewski (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.26
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R6	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.55
R7	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R8	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Mihai Zorila

85th • 3-5-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tat Chuong Hua (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs William Rao (Riptide) - Expected: 34:66

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Pierre-Yves Garcia (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Julien Erdreich (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Miguel Cardoso (Riptide) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Alan Williams (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jordan Smolders (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.48
R4	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.15
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.68

Bram Hast

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Remco Baal (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Gaël Dorckel (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Finn Kleine (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.31
R4	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Erik Skinstad

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Gremm (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Rene Gropp (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs ruben dehenau (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Stefan Hilderink (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Alexandro Vera (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Melvin Valderrey (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Emile Simon

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Sandén (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs jens van santberghe (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs damien herlin (Rhinar) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Antun Mesar (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Rens Brouwers

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Terra) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jason Huylebroeck (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Chebchoub (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Thomas Sandén (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.26
R2	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.99

André Kofmel

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.3

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Samed Demir (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Sacha Evrard (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Robert van der Padt (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.34
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Brent Van de Staey

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Niklas Schulte Osthoff (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Dan Moldovan (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Mkrtich Chivijyan (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Dennis Werk

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Rene Gropp (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Petar Peric (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Merijn Poorthuis (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.34
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Paul van Gijssel

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Ibe (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Markus Heimbeck (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas BROSSE (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.56
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.