Terra at Sunday Showdown: Rotterdam 2026

Terra

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Rob van der Burgh

75th • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Markus Heimbeck (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Ibe (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs David Kuric (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Alexandro Vera (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Kayo) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Melvin Valderrey (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Aaron Heimbeck (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R7	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jaap IJlst

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.0

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Smolders (Kano) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jan Wöhlke (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Julian Cappallo (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Dennis Hahn (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Briar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Fai) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Justin Kruft

dropped • 2-3-1

83%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Draw vs Pierre-Yves Garcia (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Sammy Du Mongh (Kayo) - Expected: 77:23

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Robin Deceuninck (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Fai) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs David Kuric (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Keir Murphy (Oldhim) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.13
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Fai	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Jurij Di Carlo

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Rens Brouwers (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 52:48

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Noah Dreckmann (Briar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.