Fai at Sunday Showdown: Rotterdam 2026

Fai

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Andrea Malpassi

17th • 6-2-0

50%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.4

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs William Rao (Riptide) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Vasil Popov (Kayo) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Hahn (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Justin Kruft (Terra) - Expected: 70:30

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Sander Deceuninck (Dash) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Antoan Yordanov (Lexi) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Terra) - Expected: 70:30

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Alessandro Bracci (Kayo) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.19
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.36
R3	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Terra	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.26
R5	Silver Age	Dash	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.76
R6	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Terra	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.45
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.43

Floyd Vrij

20th • 6-2-0

25%

Meta

+2.7

Perf

4.2

Surp

4.7

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Kevin Deridder (Dromai) - Expected: 48:52

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Stijn Delaruelle (Briar) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jakob Immer (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ozan Birinci (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Declan Patrick (Kano) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Mkrtich Chivijyan (Kayo) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.27
R3	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.56
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.99
R7	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.76
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.43

Lukas Lorek

42nd • 5-3-0

38%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.9

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 85:15

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Danny van Zon (Iyslander) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs René Schep (Iyslander) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Hauser (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Romain Lambert (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Cédric De smet (Briar) - Expected: 35:65

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Dalton Harmsen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Nicolas BROSSE (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	85%	Win	✓	0.15	0.03
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.16
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.23
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.16
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.33

Gaël Dorckel

71st • 4-4-0

25%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.4

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs David Watt (Kano) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs KONSTANTINOS STERGIOU (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Bram Hast (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Kjell Lannoo (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Alan Williams (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Dalton Harmsen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Stijn Delaruelle (Briar) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Keir Murphy (Oldhim) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.84
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.31
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.90

Diana Triebnig

78th • 3-5-0

12%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Bart Horré (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Shane Steinert (Briar) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Savinien Castel (Iyslander) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Christofzik (Kayo) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Hakan Baris (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Dan Moldovan (Briar) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs jens van santberghe (Kayo) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

12% (1/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.37
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.23
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.89
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Karanjeet Singh

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Kano) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Sacha Evrard (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 39:61

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs joeri pennings (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Pawel Jaromin

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Mkrtich Chivijyan (Kayo) - Expected: 37:63

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kjell Lannoo (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.