Sunday Showdown: Rotterdam 2026 - Kano (SAGE)

Kano

14 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Warre Sevens

1st • 10-1-0

73%

Meta

+4.2

Perf

5.0

Surp

5.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Petar Peric (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Satish Ramlall (Azalea) - Expected: 69:31

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Alex Chițu (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Rob Catton (Iyslander) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Romain Lambert (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Marcus Wystub (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Romain Lambert (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

73% (8/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Azalea	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.10
R3	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.08
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.48
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.46
R7	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.59
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.15
R10	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.91
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.41

Léo Toulouse

3rd • 8-2-0

80%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Enrico José Zürcher (Unknown)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Möller (Dorinthea) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Andrei Dragne (Iyslander) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Rob Catton (Iyslander) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Felix Krisch (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

85:15

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

70:30

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Rene Gropp (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (8/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.47
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.84
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.15
R8	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.74
R9	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.43
R10	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Watt

13th • 6-2-0

38%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.3

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Gaël Dorckel (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

90:10

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Hanno Lünser (Riptide) - Expected: 92:8

85:15

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Felix Krisch (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Marcus Wystub (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Martynas Norbutas (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Hauser (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Riptide	90%	Win	✓	0.08	0.03
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.08
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.70
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.15
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.18

Joris Verhelst

14th • 6-2-0

50%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.7

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Karanjeet Singh (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

85:15

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Antoan Yordanov (Lexi) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Peter Bråss (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Declan Patrick (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Finn Kleine (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs René Schep (Iyslander) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.35
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.08
R4	Silver Age	Lexi	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.58
R6	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Rafael Boog

39th • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Bart Horré (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 72:28

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Marcus Wystub (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Vasil Popov (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Philipp Schlegel (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Everett Bumgarner (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Hakan Baris (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

85:15

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Alexandro Vera (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.03
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.12
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.74
R6	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.21

Declan Patrick

50th • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.4

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Michael Klitzsch (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Everett Bumgarner (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Bart de Jong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Alessandro Bracci (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Floyd Vrij (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Antoine BEUCHER (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.03
R2	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.53
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.59
R5	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Antun Mesar

63rd • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

85:15

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Alan Williams (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Emile Simon (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

85:15

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Iyslander) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (4.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.08
R4	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.88
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.16
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.18
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Petar Peric

64th • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Werk (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

85:15

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Michael Klitzsch (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Everett Bumgarner (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs damien herlin (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jason Huylebroeck (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Fabian Schunn (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Simon Daelemans (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.08
R4	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.03
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Jordan Smolders

87th • 2-6-0

75%

Meta

-2.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.2

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Terra) - Expected: 67:33

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Hahn (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Samed Demir (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Dominik Schauer (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Niklas Schulte Osthoff (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Pierre-Yves Garcia (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Terra	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.15
R7	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Jason Huylebroeck

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Rens Brouwers (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Hauser (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Antoine BEUCHER (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Petar Peric (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.47
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Niklas Schulte Osthoff

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Sander Deceuninck (Dash) - Expected: 29:71

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Dalton Harmsen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Deridder (Dromai) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jordan Smolders (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ype Beuk (Dorinthea) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Dash	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.46
R5	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Davis Groza

dropped • 1-4-0

20%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.1

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Antoine BEUCHER (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jan Wöhlke (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Dalton Harmsen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.08
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Daniel Mulato

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.1

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jason Huylebroeck (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alan Williams (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tobias Hartfiel (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Hao Ru Wu (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.10
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michael Jaszczur

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Marcus Wystub (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs André Kofmel (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.