Sunday Showdown: Rotterdam 2026 - Azalea (SAGE) - FaB-Results

Azalea

Azalea

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 1-1-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.5

Diff

Valda Brightaxe

R1

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Remco Baal (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Kano

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Kano) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (0.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R2	Silver Age	Kano	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Jasper Schatorje

dropped • 0-2-0

0%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

Ira, Crimson Haze

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 24:76

Oldhim

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Keir Murphy (Oldhim) - Expected: 14:86

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.