Arakni, Web of Deceit
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
79th • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
15:85
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Lukas Lorek (Fai) - Expected: 15:85
Round 2: Win vs Noah Dreckmann (Briar) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Christofzik (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Antun Mesar (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Ype Beuk (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Alexandro Vera (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R7
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs William Rao (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R8
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar | 15% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Levia | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.