Bravo, Flattering Showman at Sunday Showdown: Rotterdam 2026

Bravo, Flattering Showman

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Rene Gropp

5th • 7-2-0

44%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.4

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Dennis Werk (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Erik Skinstad (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Rob Catton (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Dan Moldovan (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jonas Müller (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Antoan Yordanov (Lexi) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Marcus Wystub (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55

30:70

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Kano) - Expected: 28:72

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.13
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.26
R3	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.45
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.50
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.02
R9	Silver Age	Kano	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-

Jonas Müller

37th • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.5

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Lars-Christian Lieckfeldt (Vynnset) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Buntrock (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jordan Akers (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Fabian Groß (Dromai) - Expected: 87:13

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Kiran Lee (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Rene Gropp (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs David Kuric (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.06
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.31
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.10
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.86
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.19

Bart Horré

51st • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.4

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Diana Triebnig (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Rafael Boog (Kano) - Expected: 28:72

90:10

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs William Rao (Riptide) - Expected: 91:9

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Roger Braun (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs René Schep (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Cédric De smet (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jakob Immer (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Kano	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R3	Silver Age	Riptide	90%	Win	✓	0.09	0.05
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Tom Griesbach

84th • 3-5-0

62%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Möller (Dorinthea) - Expected: 17:83

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Simon Daelemans (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Gremm (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Pierre-Yves Garcia (Vynnset) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Sebastian Christofzik (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Christoph Korzeniewski (Florian) - Expected: 35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs joeri pennings (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.24
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.53
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Florian	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R8	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Kjell Lannoo

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.9

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Christoph Korzeniewski (Florian) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Pawel Jaromin (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Gaël Dorckel (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.58
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Gilles De Vylder

dropped • 0-5-0

80%

Meta

-2.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Hao Ru Wu (Rhinar) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Heimbeck (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Sammy Du Mongh (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Pierre-Yves Garcia (Vynnset) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.