Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

5th 6-1-0
86%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stephen Rollyson (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 85:15
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Ross (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Durham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Brown (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Arakni, Marionette
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeff Polakiewicz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kyle Carrington (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
35th 4-2-1
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
Dash I/O
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jean Paul Negron (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Randall Sims (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Arakni, Marionette
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ada Pitts (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mikey Kell (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 60:40
Valda, Seismic Impact
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eli7Sins Diaz III (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
Arakni, Marionette
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Trent Lynch (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
29th 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
Dash I/O
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs JOE ENOS (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Deibis (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 66:34
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Wilkins (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dylan Brown (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chris Martin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Arakni, Huntsman
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Aaron Enos (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 85:15
33rd 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kaylum Uribes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Dash I/O
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs JOE ENOS (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Carrington (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Zinn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Trenton Gutridge (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs George Wehunt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Stephen Helmly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
43rd 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brooks Olree (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cole Smith (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Clifton Fowler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mikey Kell (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 60:40
Dash I/O
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Harrelson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brian Dickson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
52nd 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Trenton Gutridge (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Harris (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Arakni, Marionette
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ada Pitts (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brian Dickson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cameron Norman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
Fang, Dracai of Blades
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chris Eppard (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
dropped 3-2-0
80%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tim Kadom (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Pleiades, Superstar
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Macdonald Hutchinson (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 52:48
Arakni, Huntsman
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Enos (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 85:15
Pleiades, Superstar
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 52:48
dropped 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ada Pitts (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Pleiades, Superstar
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Randy Davis (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 52:48
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Clifton Fowler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joe Bey (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
dropped 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.1
Diff
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Scott Sharpe (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 76:24
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aiden Tylavsky (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Randall Sims (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
dropped 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyruss Sennett (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Puffin, Hightail
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Macgowan (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stephen Higgs (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.