Battle Hardened: Atlanta 2026 - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jean Paul Negron

20th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mason Brantley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Raymond Griffin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stephen Rollyson (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ning Liu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.14
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.66
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.43
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.56
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Travis Yeo

32nd • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eli7Sins Diaz III (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Martinez (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ashley Gutridge (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jeff Polakiewicz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Robert Cuellari (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nate Vargas (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.21
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.52
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.21

Sean Baker

51st • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Durham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tristan DeVita (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mikey Kell (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs JOE ENOS (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Randall Sims (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs George Wehunt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.28
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Andrew Harrelson

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Brian Dickson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs tyler whicker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nate Vargas (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Stephen Higgs (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.13
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.65
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

JOE ENOS

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Paul Chen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chris Eppard (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.40
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.