Dash I/O at Battle Hardened: Atlanta 2026
Dash I/O
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mason Brantley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Loss vs Raymond Griffin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Stephen Rollyson (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ning Liu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
32nd • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Eli7Sins Diaz III (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Martinez (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Win vs Ashley Gutridge (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeff Polakiewicz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Cuellari (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Nate Vargas (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
51st • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Durham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Loss vs Tristan DeVita (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mikey Kell (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs JOE ENOS (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Randall Sims (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs George Wehunt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brian Dickson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs tyler whicker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nate Vargas (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Stephen Higgs (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul Chen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chris Eppard (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.