Prism, Awakener of Sol at Battle Hardened: Atlanta 2026
Prism, Awakener of Sol
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 5-2-0
14%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cameron Norman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Carrington (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs tyler whicker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Win vs Trent Lynch (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Jean Paul Negron (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Pleiades, Superstar | 35% | Loss |
15th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tristan DeVita (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zachary Lyons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brooks Olree (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kyle Carrington (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joshua White (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 81:19
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Evan Brook (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
45th • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Deibis (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Matthew Hyatt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Smith (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chris Eppard (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ada Pitts (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Round 6: Loss vs Paul Chen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs William Bradshaw (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ashley Gutridge (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 63:37
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robert Cuellari (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Deibis (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeff Polakiewicz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-3
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Caleb Lolley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cameron Norman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Joseph Watts (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Stephen Higgs (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
Round 5: Win vs Macdonald Hutchinson (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Stephen Rollyson (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Draw |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Draw |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Draw |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Chen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carson Coker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.