Kassai of the Golden Sand at Battle Hardened: Atlanta 2026
Kassai of the Golden Sand
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
25th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jose Rodriguez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
Round 4: Win vs Michael Dirksen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Austin Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
42nd • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Enos (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs jeffrey nelson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Round 3: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Macdonald Hutchinson (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 70:30
Round 5: Loss vs Ning Liu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Noah Zinn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Robert Cuellari (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Draw |
41st • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Martinez (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zippi Rollyson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Harrelson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Trent Lynch (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua White (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Austin Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Round 7: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Macgowan (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Trenton Gutridge (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Hortman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Martin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Scott Sharpe (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Hyatt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aiden Tylavsky (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Wells (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joe Bey (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Randall Sims (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Trent Lynch (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nate Vargas (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Dickson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.