Kassai of the Golden Sand
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
25th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jose Rodriguez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Round 4: Win vs Michael Dirksen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Austin Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
42nd • 3-3-1
43%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Enos (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs jeffrey nelson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Macdonald Hutchinson (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 64:36
Round 5: Loss vs Ning Liu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Noah Zinn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Robert Cuellari (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Draw |
41st • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Martinez (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zippi Rollyson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Harrelson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Trent Lynch (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua White (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Austin Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Macgowan (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Trenton Gutridge (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Hortman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Martin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Scott Sharpe (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Hyatt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aiden Tylavsky (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Wells (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joe Bey (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Randall Sims (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Trent Lynch (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nate Vargas (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Dickson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.