Vynnset, Iron Maiden
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
50th • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carson Coker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Hortman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Deibis (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 22:78
Round 4: Win vs Caleb Lolley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chris Martin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nate Vargas (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Noah Zinn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.