Arakni, Huntsman

Arakni, Huntsman

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

39th 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ashley Gutridge (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jorge Negron (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, Marionette
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Noah Zinn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Wells (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 15:85
Arakni, Marionette
!
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Colin Smith (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 15:85
49th 2-4-1
57%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 15:85
Fang, Dracai of Blades
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Eppard (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
Dash I/O
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jean Paul Negron (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Puffin, Hightail
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jason Macgowan (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Dirksen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Clifton Fowler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Maxwell Martrich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.