Battle Hardened: Atlanta 2026 - Cindra, Dracai of Retribution (CC)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Brian Dickson

31st • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Harrelson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Colin Smith (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zippi Rollyson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Evan Dasher (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Trenton Gutridge (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Stephen Higgs (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.56
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.46
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.64

Maxwell Martrich

46th • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joe Bey (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Brown (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Dirksen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Brian Dickson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Harrelson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Macdonald Hutchinson (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Stephen Rollyson (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.60
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.73

Naib Mobassir

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Raymond Griffin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Stephen Higgs (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tristan DeVita (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nelson Torres (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.32
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.