Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

26th 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stephen Helmly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Dasher (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Wilkins (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cameron Norman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Chen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brian Dickson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aiden Tylavsky (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
dropped 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Pleiades, Superstar
!!
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 91:9, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nelson Torres (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Dasher (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.