Marlynn, Treasure Hunter at Battle Hardened: Atlanta 2026

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Joshua White

dropped • 3-3-0

17%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs William Bradshaw (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Stephen Helmly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jorge Negron (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nate Vargas (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Christiano Cavallo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.53
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.48
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	20%	Win	✗	0.78	1.80
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Tristan DeVita

dropped • 2-2-0

Meta

+0.7

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christiano Cavallo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Lyons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.67
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-

Scott Sharpe

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Ross (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jose Rodriguez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 22:78

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Billy Uribes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.72

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.