Marlynn, Treasure Hunter at Battle Hardened: Atlanta 2026

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Joshua White

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs William Bradshaw (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

5:95

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Stephen Helmly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 7:93

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jorge Negron (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nate Vargas (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Christiano Cavallo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.41
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Win	✗	0.75	1.67
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Tristan DeVita

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christiano Cavallo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 19:81

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52

5:95

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Lyons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 7:93

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (1.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.75
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-

Scott Sharpe

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.6

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Ross (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jose Rodriguez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Billy Uribes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.