Fang, Dracai of Blades at Battle Hardened: Atlanta 2026

Fang, Dracai of Blades

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Raymond Griffin

10th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jean Paul Negron (Dash I/O) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Todd (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Christopher Durham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.20
R2	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.45
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.49
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.65
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Chris Eppard

47th • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.1

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Noah Zinn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Stephen Rollyson (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs JOE ENOS (Dash I/O) - Expected: 33:67

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs George Wehunt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs None ()

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Matthew Hyatt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Evan Dasher (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.50
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.88

Drew Walker

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Lyons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Macdonald Hutchinson (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jorge Negron (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.