FaB-Results
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Matthew Hyatt
54th • 2-4-1
43%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
Puffin, Hightail
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Trevor Rich (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs George Wehunt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Billy Uribes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jose Rodriguez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Arakni, Marionette
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Zinn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 24:76
Fang, Dracai of Blades
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chris Eppard (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 43:57
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jorge Negron (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Joe Bey
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maxwell Martrich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tim Kadom (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Todd (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Watts (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
Arakni, Marionette
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Donald Kell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 24:76

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.