Katsu, the Wanderer at Battle Hardened: Atlanta 2026
Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
12th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mikey Kell (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Brook (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs jeffrey nelson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 23:77
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Martinez (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jean Paul Negron (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.