Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at Battle Hardened: Vienna
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 8-2-0
90%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthias Zeiziger (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Szabo Gyuszi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raphael Nero (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Elias David Leiva Peters (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Adam Tuček (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Valentin Varga (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Denis Medjic (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs valentin mackl (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
90% (9/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
5th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lukas Knirschnig (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raphael Nero (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs valentin mackl (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Cosmo Hahn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
9th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs valentin mackl (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Pedersen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Schramm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Igor Makarev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
32nd • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Mayr (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Denis Medjic (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Wallner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Tuček (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Miroslav Košař (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
42nd • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elias David Leiva Peters (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Josef Doležal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Held (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zsigmond Komondi (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
48th • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mark Szabo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bence Androkity (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Talon Stradley (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Leon Schmidtke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Philipp Reiter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
53rd • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Théo Crevon (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Florian Stangassinger (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrej Adamčák (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bence Androkity (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
63rd • 2-4-1
71%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lukas Vogelgsang ()
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Cosmo Hahn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Katrenčin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Mayr (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christoph Lengauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs None ()
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Šídlo (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Szabo Gyuszi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Tsohohey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leo Matuška (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Miroslav Košař (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Szabo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leon Schmidtke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Stefan Triebl (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Szabo Gyuszi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Tucek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Viktor Nelipovich (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.