Fang, Dracai of Blades at Battle Hardened: Vienna
Fang, Dracai of Blades
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stefan Triebl (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Koch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Tucek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Win vs Christoph Greischberger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cosmo Hahn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Viktor Nelipovich (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
Round 7: Win vs Miroslav Košař (Dash I/O) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
57th • 2-4-1
57%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Benjamin Brüssau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Round 2: Loss vs Christoph Lengauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Martin Hajko (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Viktor Nelipovich (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Šídlo (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 82:18
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Held (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dániel Komjáti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Draw |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
59th • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefan Triebl (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Igor Makarev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josef Doležal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Kovacs (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Philipp Reiter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
65th • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hex Hex (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vitalij Zeiser (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Erik Ganser (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Kovacs (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Round 6: Loss vs Stefan Triebl (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Neugebauer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.