Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-5-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Miroslav Košař (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Talon Stradley (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None ()
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Erik Ganser (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 18:82
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Denk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | 50% | Win | |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.