Battle Hardened: Vienna - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Teo Matuška

21st • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 28:72

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Philipp Reiter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Tsohohey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jakob Indra (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Vitalij Zeiser (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Denis Medjic (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Koch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.23
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.47
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.77
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Miroslav Košař

30th • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cosmo Hahn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Šídlo (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Wallner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Philippe Cabero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Mark Szabo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.21
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.50
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.63
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.67
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-

Martin Hechtberger

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Denk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Viliam Kubik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Tuček (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.48
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Alexander Tsohohey

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Wallner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Talon Stradley (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Teo Matuška (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.55
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christopher Tacina

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zsigmond Komondi (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Robert Gupfinger (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lukas Vogelgsang ()

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.