Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrej Adamčák (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Schramm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs Mark Szabo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Teo Matuška (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Igor Makarev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
35th • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Lukas Knirschnig (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Balint Herendi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Erik Ganser (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ognjen Marinkovic (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexander Held (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Draw |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
27th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Viktor Nelipovich (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs valentin mackl (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elias David Leiva Peters (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Viliam Kubik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Balint Herendi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
43rd • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Balint Herendi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 2: Loss vs Jakob Indra (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Raphael Nero (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Hex Hex (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs András Kovács (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Leo Matuška (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
Round 7: Loss vs Ognjen Marinkovic (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
45th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mark Szabo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dániel Komjáti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Neugebauer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Win vs Peter Lančarič (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrej Adamčák (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Florian Stangassinger (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zsigmond Komondi (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
52nd • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Igor Makarev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Martin Hechtberger (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ognjen Marinkovic (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Christoph Lengauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Max Karstenberg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andreas Reling (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Max Karstenberg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tom Tucek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andreas Reling (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Igor Makarev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.