FaB-Results

Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Battle Hardened: Vienna

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ognjen Marinkovic
37th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
4.0
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lewis Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tobias Hartfiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Held (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Viktor Nelipovich (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jakob Indra (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andreas Reling (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
axilleas siskopoulos
39th • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs valentin mackl (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrej Adamčák (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Peter Lančarič (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Philippe Cabero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Leon Schmidtke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.