FaB-Results
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

valentin mackl
3rd • 8-1-0
67%
Meta
+3.8
Perf
4.8
Surp
4.5
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Valentin Varga (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Botond Szujó (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tom Tucek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tobias Hartfiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Cosmo Hahn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Igor Makarev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Tobias Hartfiel
5th • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Tuček (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ognjen Marinkovic (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Arakni, Huntsman
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
Prism, Awakener of Sol
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leo Matuška (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 79:21
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs valentin mackl (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.