Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant at Battle Hardened: Vienna
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-2-1
62%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Miroslav Košař (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Peter Lančarič (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hex Hex (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lewis Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 67:33
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tom Tucek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs valentin mackl (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.