Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs András Kovács (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zsigmond Komondi (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Raphael Nero (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
41st • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lewis Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mark Szabo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
54th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Florian Stangassinger (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Teo Matuška (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Kovacs (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christoph Lengauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tibor Csonka (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Szabo Gyuszi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
55th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Hajko (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cosmo Hahn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Loss vs Andreas Reling (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Théo Crevon (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Pedersen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Stefan Triebl (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
56th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Mayr (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Koch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Erik Ganser (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leon Schmidtke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andreas Mitterlechner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Igor Makarev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christian Katrenčin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vitalij Zeiser (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Pedersen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christoph Greischberger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Reichhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.