Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X at Battle Hardened: Vienna
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
29th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Szabo Gyuszi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Reichhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
10:90
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Schramm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 8:92
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Pedersen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Leo Matuška (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 10% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.